How alerts have performed

Recovery means the suggested sell target later appeared in five-minute aggregate market data before the outcome horizon expired. It does not prove that a buy or sell order filled, and it is not realized profit.

Recovery rate

100.0%

2,586 finalized alerts

Recovered

2,586

Target observed before expiry

Expired

Target not observed in time

Pending

147

Average successful recovery 59m

Detector	Config	Confidence	Model	Finalized	Recovery rate	Pending	Avg estimated profit	Avg recovery
alert_detection_v4	legacy	high	recent_volume_v1	1,066	100.0%	51	216,657 gp	1.2h
alert_detection_v4	sha256:28e9a66c932b4...	high	recent_volume_v1	9	100.0%	0	131,445 gp	47m
alert_detection_v4	sha256:28e9a66c932b4...	medium	recent_volume_v1	11	100.0%	9	71,218 gp	46m
alert_detection_v4	legacy	medium	recent_volume_v1	1,500	100.0%	87	81,158 gp	52m

Groups with fewer than 50 finalized alerts should be treated as provisional. Generated 6/25/26, 10:13:26 PM.

Detector configurations

Each outcome preserves the exact threshold snapshot used when the alert was created.

alert_detection_v4 / sha256:28e9a66c932b4... - 29 alerts

Observed from 6/25/26, 7:34:23 PM to 6/25/26, 8:38:34 PM.

{
  "profit": {
    "geTaxRatePercent": 2,
    "geTaxMinimumPriceGp": 50,
    "geTaxMaximumPerItemGp": 5000000,
    "highEstimatedProfitGp": 75000,
    "minimumEstimatedCostGp": 100000,
    "mediumEstimatedProfitGp": 50000,
    "minimumEstimatedProfitGp": 50000
  },
  "volume": {
    "broadLiquidity": {
      "maximum": 500,
      "minimum": 10,
      "buyLimitDivisor": 10,
      "appliesFromBuyLimit": 100
    },
    "oneHourTrigger": {
      "maximum": 500,
      "minimum": 2,
      "buyLimitDivisor": 10
    },
    "twentyFourHour": {
      "maximum": 1500,
      "minimum": 3,
      "buyLimitDivisor": 5
    },
    "oneHourOpposite": {
      "maximum": 100,
      "minimum": 1,
      "buyLimitDivisor": 20
    },
    "fiveMinuteMinimumByBuyLimit": [
      {
        "minimumVolume": 1,
        "maximumBuyLimit": 10
      },
      {
        "minimumVolume": 2,
        "maximumBuyLimit": 100
      },
      {
        "minimumVolume": 5,
        "maximumBuyLimit": 1000
      },
      {
        "minimumVolume": 10,
        "maximumBuyLimit": 5000
      },
      {
        "minimumVolume": 25,
        "maximumBuyLimit": null
      }
    ],
    "fiveMinuteOneHourFallbackMultiplier": 2
  },
  "confidence": {
    "highMinimumFillRatio": 0.1,
    "highMinimumDropPercent": 10,
    "mediumMinimumDropPercent": 4
  },
  "priceSignal": {
    "baselineMethod": "median_positive_values",
    "baselineWindows": [
      "1h",
      "6h",
      "12h",
      "24h",
      "7d",
      "typical"
    ],
    "minimumDropPercent": 2,
    "minimumSpreadPercent": 1,
    "sellTargetAdjustment": 0.995,
    "minimumAbsoluteDropGp": 10,
    "largeMovementDropPercent": 8
  },
  "profitModel": "recent_volume_v1",
  "fillEstimate": {
    "exitDemandSide": "instant_buy",
    "minimumQuantity": 1,
    "ageBucketSeconds": 300,
    "oneHourVolumeDivisor": 4,
    "twentyFourHourVolumeDivisor": 20
  },
  "configurationId": "sha256:28e9a66c932b4422f55bfdfcb86afb3046b8fdf4612bfa9ad6925e7e5382ff54",
  "detectorVersion": "alert_detection_v4",
  "freshnessSeconds": {
    "instantBuy": 600,
    "instantSell": 900,
    "oppositeBuy": 900,
    "oppositeSell": 1200
  },
  "roiPercentByBuyLimit": [
    {
      "maximumBuyLimit": 10,
      "minimumRoiPercent": 5
    },
    {
      "maximumBuyLimit": 100,
      "minimumRoiPercent": 6
    },
    {
      "maximumBuyLimit": null,
      "minimumRoiPercent": 8
    }
  ]
}

alert_detection_v4 / legacy - 2,704 alerts

Observed from 6/24/26, 10:03:50 PM to 6/25/26, 7:27:52 PM.

{}